Options in the united STATES
Donald Trump as the us president will give an increased uncertainty in the short term, but not necessarily in the long term, mean analysis supervisor credit Pål Ringholm in Swedbank.
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First of Brexit. Now Donald Trump.
the People vs. the Elite 2-0, summarizes Pål Ringholm in a note to its clients Wednesday morning.
And 4. December is the election in Italy.
- It can quickly become hat trick, ” says Ringholm.
Humility, please
In the short term is the increased makrousikkerhet in the world, according to Ringholm. Stock exchanges all over the world falls on Wednesday, the gold price is rising as it tends to do when there is increased uncertainty in the securities market, and the VIX index, often referred to as fryktindeksen, shoots in the weather.
But about Trump-the effect is so fierce on the slightly longer term, Ringholm unsure of. It is essential handelspolitikken. A more protectionist united STATES would clearly frame the rest of the world, but if Trump makes words into action remains to be seen.
” We don’t know what’s going to happen. On Tuesday, everyone thought that the chances were 70-30 in favor Clinton, so it is on its place with a little humility. But I hope he is smart enough to choose compromise over conflict.
Is the Trump smart enough? Oh well, who knows, but he was at least smart enough to win the election:
Smart enough?
“So now it’s just to hope that Trump is a smarting. He it is, no matter what others have tried to tell you. This is the man who took out a patent for Make America Great Again right after the election four years ago. He has run a campaign for election that have seemed completely incomprehensible by ordinary standards. It’s just that it has been conscious from the he side. The strategy has been to win an election through the conflict so that enough many frustrated would vote for him. He has succeeded,” writes Ringholm in his kundenotat.
Ringholm believes his appointment and markedsreaksjonene has parallels with the Brexit, when the british voted yes to leave the EU.
It was a short-term turmoil, before it normalised itself in anticipation of what the real policy is.
see also:
Here is taperlisten on the Tokyo stock exchange
– Trump as the president increases definitely nedsiderisikoen for the world economy
-the oil prices will be crushed if Trump is elected. The effect will be stronger than brexit
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